Dear GWT2Energy Subscribers,

Welcome to this week’s weather forecast tailored for restaurant owners and operators across the US. We focus on events that could disrupt operations, such as severe storms affecting deliveries, outdoor seating, or customer traffic, and extreme temperatures straining HVAC systems for indoor comfort. Forecasts are based on NOAA and NWS data, with likelihood percentages derived from probabilistic outlooks. Extreme temperatures are defined as highs >95°F or lows <40°F, or deviations ≥15°F from seasonal averages.

Severe Weather: Hurricanes and Tornado Warnings

• Hurricanes: No active hurricanes or tropical systems are forecast to impact the US. Winter season typically sees zero activity in the Atlantic and Pacific basins affecting the mainland.
  • 7-day forecast: 0% likelihood.
  • 14-day forecast: 0% likelihood.
  • 21-day forecast: <5% likelihood (minimal tropical development possible but unlikely to reach US).
• Tornado Warnings: No current watches or warnings nationwide. Convective activity is suppressed due to cold air masses, with no severe thunderstorm outlooks.
  • 7-day forecast: <5% likelihood of any tornado events; no affected cities or states.
  • 14-day forecast: <10% likelihood, potentially isolated in the South if warmer air intrudes, but no specific cities flagged.
  • 21-day forecast: 10-15% likelihood for scattered events in the Southeast (e.g., FL, GA), but low intensity expected.

These low risks mean minimal disruptions from wind damage or closures, but monitor local alerts for any pop-up severe weather.

Extreme Temperatures Impacting HVAC Efficiency

Extreme cold can overload heating systems, increasing energy costs and failure risks, while reducing customer turnout. No highs >95°F are expected nationwide due to winter conditions. Focus is on lows <40°F and below-average anomalies straining HVAC.

• 7-Day Forecast (High Confidence, 80-90% Likelihood Overall):
  • Lows <40°F and ≥15°F below seasonal averages: Widespread in the Southeast, Midwest, and parts of the Northeast. Affected states/cities include TX (Houston lows ~20-30°F, 15-20°F below avg), AL (Birmingham ~25-35°F, 15°F below), GA (Atlanta ~25-35°F, 15°F below), SC/NC (Charlotte ~20-30°F, 15-20°F below), and Midwest (Chicago ~10-20°F, 15°F below). Extreme cold warnings cover ~85 million people.
  • Impacts: HVAC heating demand surges 20-30%, potential for pipe freezes affecting kitchen ops. 90% likelihood in Southeast/Midwest.
• 14-Day Forecast (Medium Confidence, 60-70% Likelihood Overall):
  • Lows <40°F and ≥15°F below averages: Persisting but moderating in the eastern US. Affected states/cities: Eastern CONUS (e.g., NY/NJ lows ~25-35°F, 10-15°F below avg in spots; FL panhandle ~30-40°F, 15°F below). Below-normal probabilities 50-60% in East/South.
  • Impacts: Continued HVAC strain but easing; potential for brief thaws reducing risks. 60% likelihood of extremes in Southeast.
• 21-Day Forecast (Low-Medium Confidence, 40-50% Likelihood Overall):
  • Lows <40°F and ≥15°F below averages: Scattered in the East and South, with a shift toward near-normal. Affected states/cities: Possible in TX/OK (lows ~30-40°F, 10-15°F below in pulses) and Northeast (Boston ~20-30°F, occasional 15°F below). Below-normal probabilities 40-50% in eastern US.
  • Impacts: Intermittent HVAC demands; monitor for Arctic outbreaks. 40% likelihood of sustained extremes.

Stay prepared: Extreme cold may reduce foot traffic by 10-20% and spike energy use. Consider HVAC maintenance and backup generators.

For more details or energy solutions to mitigate these impacts, visit GWT2Energy.com or contact us at support@gwt2energy.com.

Best regards,
The GWT2Energy Team

Disclaimers: This forecast is for informational purposes only and is based on publicly available data from NOAA, NWS, and related sources as of the latest update. Weather predictions are inherently uncertain and can change rapidly; likelihood percentages reflect probabilistic models and are not guarantees. GWT2Energy does not provide official warnings—always consult local authorities, the National Weather Service (weather.gov), or certified meteorologists for real-time alerts. We assume no liability for decisions based on this newsletter. For compliance, this content adheres to general energy advisory guidelines and does not constitute financial or operational advice.