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​Week of May 11, 2026

Dear GWT2Energy Partners,

This weekly update highlights US weather patterns that could affect restaurant operations, including foot traffic, outdoor seating, supply chains, and especially HVAC performance. Extreme temperatures strain systems—highs >95°F increase cooling loads significantly, while lows <40°F boost heating demands. We include likelihood percentages based on current NOAA/CPC/SPC outlooks.

Active & Short-Term Threats (7-Day Outlook: May 11–18, 2026)

• Tornado & Severe Weather Risks: Marginal to Enhanced risks of severe thunderstorms with tornado potential across parts of the Southeast (e.g., LA, MS, AL) and Southern Plains. Isolated strong tornadoes possible in affected corridors. Likelihood: 40–60% for notable severe activity in highlighted zones this week, impacting outdoor operations, power outages, and safety protocols.
• Hurricanes/Tropical Systems: None active. 2026 Atlantic hurricane season (starts June 1) is forecast below average (11–15 named storms). Early tropical waves unlikely to develop significantly. Likelihood of US landfall impacts in next 7 days: <5%.
• Extreme Temperatures (Highs >95°F or Lows <40°F, or ≥15°F from seasonal averages):
  • Southern Plains & Southwest (e.g., TX, OK, parts of AZ/CA): Highs in upper 90s possible, 10–20°F above average. HVAC cooling strain high. Likelihood: 60–70%.
  • Midwest/Northeast: Cooler start possible with some freeze risks early in period transitioning to milder. Lows near/below 40°F in northern areas unlikely but monitor. Likelihood of extremes: 20–30%.

Operational Notes: Expect increased AC runtime in South (potential efficiency drops 10–20% under sustained heat). Prepare for storm-related closures or generator needs in severe risk areas.

14-Day Outlook (May 11–25, 2026)

• Severe Weather: Continued thunderstorm activity shifting to Plains/Midwest. Tornado likelihood decreases but watch for clusters. Overall severe impact probability: 30–50%.
• Temperatures: Above-normal favored across much of the South, Plains, and West. Potential for more days with highs 10–15°F+ above average in TX/OK/Southwest, stressing HVAC cooling. Cooler anomalies possible in Upper Midwest/Northeast early, fading later. Extreme heat likelihood (>95°F or anomalous): 50–65% in southern tier; low cold risk (<40°F).
• Hurricanes: Still none imminent. Seasonal suppression from El Niño patterns keeps early risk low (<10% for any notable system).

Operational Notes: Plan preventive HVAC maintenance for heat-vulnerable regions to avoid breakdowns during peak loads.

21-Day Outlook (May 11–June 1, 2026)

• Severe Weather: Transition toward more typical late-May patterns with Plains/Midwest focus. Tornado/severe probability: 25–40% for periodic events.
• Temperatures: Warming trend overall. Persistent above-average warmth in South/Southwest (risk of 95°F+ highs and anomalous heat). Likelihood of extreme heat events impacting HVAC: 55–70% in TX, OK, AZ, southern CA. Minimal cold extremes expected nationwide.
• Hurricanes: Pre-season monitoring ramps up. First potential systems late in period, but low US impact odds (~10–15%).

Operational Notes: Longer-term heat could elevate energy costs; optimize scheduling and consider efficiency upgrades. Monitor for supply disruptions from storms.

Stay proactive—weather-driven HVAC efficiency directly affects your bottom line. Contact GWT2Energy for tailored energy solutions.

Best regards,
The GWT2Energy Team
​Optimizing Energy for Smarter Operations

Recommended Disclaimers:
This newsletter provides general guidance based on public forecasts from NOAA, CPC, SPC, and other sources as of May 11, 2026. Weather is inherently uncertain; actual conditions may vary. Percentages are approximate probabilities derived from outlook products and do not guarantee outcomes. GWT2Energy is not liable for decisions based on this information. Always consult local NWS forecasts, your HVAC professionals, and emergency management for site-specific actions. Information is for operational awareness only and not financial or legal advice. For compliance, verify with official sources before acting. Unsubscribe or update preferences anytime.